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I had ChatGPT to redo welfare in America, it makes more sense

Casey
4 min readAug 20, 2024

I enjoy experimenting with ChatGPT. One issue that’s been on my mind for several years is that, as a nation, we already spend a significant amount of money helping low-income families, but the support is so fragmented between federal, state, and local governments that it ends up consuming a lot of their time, making it harder for them to get ahead. Poverty is a scar on society and a huge burden on mental health. I asked ChatGPT to come up with a simpler system for administering welfare programs without increasing spending. It consolidated funding from the Earned Income Tax Credit, Child Tax Credit, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, the Low-Income Heating and Energy Assistance Program, Section 8, Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (food stamps), and WIC.

The goal was simplicity. The IRS would restore the American Rescue Plan’s Child Tax Credit, increase wages semi-monthly instead of during tax season, provide extra benefits for families, and ensure that childless adults aren’t left out in the cold. I actually think it did a good job. Let me know what you think!

Welfare Reform Proposal Summary

Overview of Proposed System:

Restored Child Tax Credit:

  • Benefit: $3,600 per child annually ($300/month) for the first two children.
  • Tiered Increase: $4,000 for the third child, $4,500 for each additional child.
  • Eligibility: Full benefit for incomes up to $150,000; gradually phases out between $150,000 and $250,000.
  • Administration: Managed by the IRS, similar to the existing expanded Child Tax Credit structure, allowing automatic monthly payments.

Expanded Making Work Pay Tax Credit (Replacing the EITC):

  • Benefit: Up to $3,000 annually for single, childless workers; higher amounts for families with children.
  • Eligibility: Phases out starting at $20,000 for single workers (fully phased out by $45,000) and $25,000 for families (fully phased out by $70,000).
  • Administration: Delivered automatically through employers via paychecks, similar to payroll tax withholding, ensuring real-time income boosts.

Expanded SNAP with Housing Adjustment:

  • Base SNAP Benefit: Enhanced to better meet food security needs.
  • Housing Adjustment: Additional 10–20% increase for families in high-rent areas.
  • Administration: Continues under state agencies using existing SNAP infrastructure, integrating local cost-of-living data.

Modest Universal Income for Non-Working Adults:

  • Benefit: $150-$200 per month for adults below a certain income threshold.
  • Eligibility: Automatically granted to low-income, non-working adults based on existing welfare or tax data.
  • Administration: State-level administration with federal funding.

Emergency Assistance Fund:

  • Benefit: Up to $1,000 annually for urgent needs (e.g., utilities, emergency repairs).
  • Eligibility: Quick access with streamlined applications based on existing welfare data.
  • Administration: State-administered with federal guidelines ensuring consistency and speed.

Example Scenario: Single Mother in Lansing, MI

Situation: A single mother with one child earning $22,000 annually in Lansing, MI.

Under the Proposed System:

  1. Restored ARPA Child Tax Credit:
  • Receives the full benefit of $3,600 annually ($300/month).

Expanded Making Work Pay Tax Credit:

  • Receives $6,000 annually ($500/month), as her income is below the phase-out threshold.

Expanded SNAP with Housing Adjustment:

  • Receives approximately $275/month in SNAP benefits due to a slight housing adjustment in a moderate-cost area.
  • Annual SNAP benefit: $3,300.

Emergency Assistance Fund:

  • She qualifies for up to $1,000 annually if needed for unexpected expenses (e.g., high utility bills in winter).

Total Annual Benefits: $12,900 (up to $13,900 if emergency assistance is used).

Total Monthly Income (including benefits): $2,908.

Comparison to the Current Welfare System:

  1. Child Tax Credit (CTC): $1,500 annually.
  2. Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC): $3,900 annually.
  3. SNAP: $250/month, totaling $3,000 annually.
  4. TANF: $300/month, totaling $3,600 annually.

Total Annual Benefits (Current System): $12,000.

Total Monthly Income (including benefits): $2,833.

Key Differences:

  • The proposed system provides more consistent monthly support, with an additional $900 annually (or more with emergency assistance).
  • The Restored Child Tax Credit is more generous and reliable than the current CTC.
  • The wage subsidy offers immediate income boosts rather than waiting for tax refunds.

Original System Costs vs. Proposed System Costs:

Current Annual Federal Costs:

  1. EITC: $70 billion
  2. Child Tax Credit (CTC): $120 billion
  3. TANF: $16.5 billion
  4. SNAP: $115 billion
  5. LIHEAP: $4 billion
  6. Section 8 Housing Assistance: $25 billion
  7. WIC: $6 billion

Total Federal Cost (Current System): $356.5 billion

Proposed System Annual Costs:

  1. Restored Child Tax Credit: $220 billion
  2. Expanded Making Work Pay Tax Credit: $80 billion
  3. Expanded SNAP with Housing Adjustment: $40 billion
  4. Modest Universal Income: $10 billion
  5. Emergency Assistance Fund: $6 billion

Total Federal Cost (Proposed System): $356 billion

How Funds Are Reallocated:

Restored ARPA Child Tax Credit:

  • The $120 billion currently spent on the CTC is increased to $220 billion to provide a more generous, tiered benefit, ensuring all families receive monthly payments without gaps.

Expanded Making Work Pay Tax Credit:

  • The $70 billion allocated to the EITC is repurposed and increased to $80 billion, allowing for real-time wage subsidies delivered through paychecks, directly benefiting low-wage workers.

Expanded SNAP with Housing Adjustment:

  • The existing $115 billion SNAP budget is reduced to $40 billion, but enhanced to include regional housing adjustments, making it more targeted and efficient.

Eliminating TANF and Other Smaller Programs:

  • TANF, LIHEAP, and Section 8 Housing Assistance, which currently cost around $45.5 billion collectively, are replaced with the universal income and emergency assistance programs, simplifying access and increasing flexibility.

Modest Universal Income and Emergency Assistance Fund:

  • These programs cost a combined $16 billion but provide crucial support for those who fall outside of traditional welfare systems, ensuring no one is left behind.

Conclusion:

This reallocation of funds maintains the overall federal budget for welfare while simplifying the system, providing more generous and immediate support to families, and ensuring broader coverage. By consolidating multiple programs into a streamlined, easy-to-access structure, the proposed system reduces complexity and gaps in coverage, ultimately leading to more stable financial outcomes for low-income families.

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Casey
Casey

Written by Casey

Amateur political analyst / anti anti-vaxxer / hater of conspiracy theories and the power of crystals. Views are mine and do not reflect those of my employer.

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